XRP scenarios: the English USD methodology report.

What this model actually contains

This English edition uses CryptoTuts model 1.2, reviewed on 2026-08-26. It contains three editorial market-cap scenarios for each year from 2026 through 2030, together with an assumed circulating supply. The next scheduled review is 2026-10-10. These are assumptions rather than observed future outcomes.

The defensive, base and expansion labels describe relative model endpoints. They do not assign a probability, identify a floor or cap on XRP’s price, or imply that the base case is the most likely outcome.

The calculation and currency conversion

Each original scenario uses an EUR market capitalization. The English tool multiplies that amount by the observed EUR/USD rate, then divides by the model’s assumed circulating XRP supply. All portfolio and target-price output in the English tool is in USD.

The conversion rate and its source date are shown separately from the Kraken XRP/USD quote. FX translation changes the display currency. It does not establish a separately researched US forecast. If the FX source fails, USD model endpoints remain unavailable rather than substituting an arbitrary conversion rate.

How to read the chart

The historical section contains actual completed daily USD closes when the price source can supply them. The current market quote is shown separately and is not inserted into a completed daily candle.

The scenario geometry follows the German reference chart’s 48-step smoothstep illustration between a verified starting quote and each model endpoint. The shape is a visual interpolation, not a time-series estimate. The shaded area is not a confidence interval. Without a starting quote or FX rate, the fan is unavailable.

Supply and market cap require interpretation

The model assumes 63.5 billion circulating XRP for 2026, 65 billion for 2027, 67.5 billion for 2028, 70 billion for 2029 and 72.5 billion for 2030. These values belong to this dated model. They are not claims about the latest validated ledger or a guaranteed release schedule.

Market capitalization equals price multiplied by circulating supply. It is not a direct measurement of invested cash or trading liquidity. Real execution prices can depend on available liquidity, order size and market conditions. A change in the assumed circulating supply changes the model’s target price even when the market-cap input stays constant.

Your units and the custom USD scenario

The unit input multiplies a selected scenario price by your XRP quantity. It does not prove that the address or units belong to you and does not establish acquisition cost. Calculations exclude trading costs and tax.

The custom scenario starts directly with a USD market capitalization and a circulating supply you choose. It therefore does not need an EUR conversion. A saved result records the inputs and quote used at calculation; changing the fields does not silently rewrite that result.

What the report exports preserve

The JSON report contains the model version, review date, original model source, quote and FX sources, source dates, all 15 model endpoints and the last calculated custom scenario. Unknown values remain null. The CSV contains all model-year and scenario combinations with their explicit FX input.

Printing this English workspace creates a report of the displayed scenarios and limitations. Recheck its generation date and source dates before sharing it. A report is an educational record of assumptions, not an investment recommendation or a tax filing.

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